This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. As with the nics previous global trends reports,we contend that the megatrends are interacting we do not seek to predict the futurean impossiblewith six variables or gamechangers that will featbut instead provide a framework for thinkingdetermine what kind of transformed world we will. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. Global trends to 2035 geopolitics and international power this study considers eight economic, societal, and political global trends that will shape the world to 2035, namely an ageing population, fragile globalisation, a technological revolution, climate change, shifting power. The 2030 pdf is broken, can you up again the archive thanks. Global trends 2030 office of the director of national intelligence. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues focus on a series of plausible. Slaughter1 abstract the article acknowledges some of the strengths of the nic report such as its use of scenarios. It describes the megatrends, gamechangers, and four potential worlds that we will likely face. Both the product and the process used to produce it benefited from lessons learned in previous iterations.
Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030. Empirical data elucidates that the worlds population is aggregating in cities at an alarming rate. In this project, first we envisioned social values and experiences the city of tigre should provide for its citizens, and then by backcasting we identified crucial issues, creating a plan to achieve the vision for 2030 as proposed through necs solutions. This post will examine another more nuanced scenario, nonstate world, which represents yet another uncertain scenario. I found global trends 2030 to be sometimes a disturbing but always a fascinating read. The highlevel conference will convene more than 150 participants from the policymaking, business, media, and technology communities in the united states and from around the world in an unprecedented gathering to discuss. A more fragmented international system in which existing forms of cooperation are no longer seen as advantageous to many of the key global players would also increase the potential for competition and even great power conflict. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. What will our future world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. A cocreative project vision 2030 for tigre, argentina.
As with the nics national intelligence council previous global trends reports, we. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. Combat in urban areas, by maj ron hernandez, 43 pages. Unique among intelligence products of this depth and stature, the national intelligence councils quadrennial global trends report is. The atlantic councils brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence council s nic global trends 2030.
As the title of the national intelligence councils nic capstone publication suggests, this look at possible alternative worlds is the essence of the study. Alternative worlds report identifies key metatrends that will shape the future international system, including the. Global trends is the intelligence communitys major assessment of the forces and choices shaping the world over the next two decades. The nic reports to the director of national intelligence in his capacity as head of the. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. Workshop on information technology in africa, may 2002 3 mb pdf file.
This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. Richard cincotta richard cincotta is the demographerinresidence at the stimson center in washington, dc, a consultant on political demography at the woodrow wilson centers environmental change and security project, and a contributor to the national intelligence councils strategic foresight efforts. Summaries of the us, eu, russia, and nato global trends 2030 reports. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets.
As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by. Alternative worlds, the fifth installment of a series that aims to provide a framework for thinking about future policy planning. Alternative worlds we looked at the uncertain but potentially worrisome gini out of the bottle scenario, the third scenario presented in the national intelligence councils nic comprehensive analysis. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. On the one hand, if the islamic republic maintains power in iran and is able to develop nuclear weapons, the middle east will face a highly unstable future. Take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. Alternative worlds report overview and blog post series. The nics companion report to global trends 2030, entitled le menu, provides the cliffs notes description of. Mathew burrows counselor and director, analysis and production staff, national intelligence council global trends 2030. The national intelligence councils nic global trends report engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forwardlooking document to aid policymakers in their long term planning on key issues of worldwide.
Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligencecouncil s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for. The nic global trends project involves extensive research and consultations with people inside the us government and around the world. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Share of global middleclass consumption, 20002050 percent others eu us japan other asia india china 1990 to 2010 2010 to 2030 projected global trends 2030. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. Download defensio fidei nic n pdf ebook defensio fidei nic n defensio fidei nic n ebook author by george bull defensio. National intelligence council the national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that produces national intelligence estimates, which are intelligence communitywide forecasts of issues and challenges facing the security of the united states. Alternative worlds global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years.
On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut instead. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the. At the end of 2012, the us national intelligence council nic released global trends 2030. Alternative worlds a publication of the national intelligence council december 2012 nic 2012001. But the middle easts trajectory will depend on its political landscape. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut instead provide a framework for thinking about possible futures and their. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to.
Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the ra. Alternative worlds report and exploring its consequences for u. It also critiques it on grounds that include failing to learn from feedback on the 2005 report, over. The article acknowledges some of the strengths of the nic report such as its use of. Of all possible future worlds is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the. For coverage of the atlantic council global trends event. The national intelligence council nic, the forwardlooking think tank of the u. Alternative worlds report and exploring its consequences for us strategy moving forward. The national intelligence councils nic justreleased global trends 2030.
A few weeks back, on one of my many flights, i had an opportunity to read global trends 2030. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. Alternative worlds free ebook download as pdf file. Burrows, counselor, us national intelligence council. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. Alternative worlds, a publication of the national intelligence council nic. In 1950, twentynine percent of the worlds population lived in urban areas. Of nat or io ct re na f the di l in llige te eo ic n f ce ofdear reader.